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CENTER FOR THE ADVANCEMENT OF HEALTH
SEPTEMBER 2006

Consequences of Terror Fatigue

DsIsSsCsOsNsNsEsCsT

Although half of Americans read at an eighth-grade level, only 20 percent of state health department Web sites were written at that level in 2005, according to research in the Journal of Health Care for the Poor and Underserved, researchers found. Most of the sites were written at a 10th- or 11th-grade level. "People in particular need of up-to-date and accurate health care information appear least able to share in the benefits of online government resources," say researchers Darrell West, Ph.D., and Edward Alan Miller, Ph.D., of Brown University.

H I T S

The biggest "hit" of the year goes to an American Journal of Preventive Medicine experiment that showed that people - in this case nutrition experts -- ate more ice cream if it was served in a larger bowl. The story was used in at least 138 media, 31 of which were daily newspapers and included the New York Times, Los Angeles Times and the Houston Chronicle. The Los Angeles Times also gave significant play to a story based on HBNS distribution of a Cochrane Collaboration evidence review on ergonomics.

M I S S E S

This month's entry is not from the news media but from a corporate flack with an astounding misplacement of priorities and common sense. Commenting on a study about using a cell phone while driving -- which 8 percent of drivers do at any given time -- Joe Farren of the cell phone industry played down the danger: "We don't want people to use phones in their cars if they think it's going to distract them, (emphasis added), but there are a lot of other things that are equally or more distracting for drivers."

Are we really surprised anymore that most people do not act rationally when it comes to judging health or safety risks? They get tested for breast cancer but not for heart disease; they fear living in an earthquake zone but they talk on their cell phone while driving; they think they can't get a sexually transmitted disease from a single fling.

Jessie Gruman
President and Executive Director
Center for the
Advancement of Health

However, there are two startling risks that Americans seem to be hyper-aware of, and paradoxically unprepared for. A recent article by Newhouse News Service reports that no one is doing much to prepare for either a terrorism attack or a Katrina-sized natural disaster: "Some call it a waste of time. Others say they can't afford it. Still others object to the Bush administration trying to tell them what to do," the report concludes.

On the other hand, one group has learned something from Katrina -- those concerned with the effect of disaster on pregnant mothers and newborns. The White Ribbon Alliance for Safe Motherhood has organized to get public agencies to incorporate new mothers and babies into emergency planning.

And a school board in Ohio is revising its sex education curriculum, having learned that abstinence-only may not be the way to go since 65 girls -- or 13 percent of the female student body at one school -- turned up pregnant.

Everyone perceives risk differently. Professor Paul Slovic uses one definition of risk as "a blend of the probability and the severity of consequences." Even when correctly perceived, everyone processes and acts on it differently, which may explain why former Homeland Security Secretary Tom Ridge thought duct tape and plastic sheeting was an answer for terrorism.

Cognitive research tells us, as essayist Nassim Nicholas Taleb explains, that "you only worry about what you know, and typically once you know about something the damage is done."

A classic study a generation ago found that people who watch the most TV -- children and shut-ins -- had exponentially greater fear of crime and other urban dangers than actually existed. And who knows how many movie-goers who love to be terrorized now fear snakes on a plane more than flakes on a plane?

So the issue for both public policy and public health is how to convert the odds of an unexpected occurrence into sensible action. Everyone knows to stockpile a three-day supply of food, water and batteries. But we don't. And who is to say whether it is because we are too aware of the low risk of terrorism and killer hurricanes or too indifferent to them because we are terror fatigued?

In New York City, Arlington, Va., London and Madrid, life goes on pretty much as it did before terrorists struck, and that is ominous. Because faulty risk-awareness can cause us to either overstate the odds of disaster or, conversely, to ignore them in the cacophony of false alarms sounded in conjunction with every negative political poll. In that case, terror fatigue becomes the biggest risk of all because the consequences are fraught with both probability and severity.

FROM THE CENTER


NEW STAFF The Center welcomes Brandon T. Moore as its new communications manager. Brandon has a background in Web development and public affairs. Before joining the Center he worked at the U.S. Trade and Development Agency and the Washington Metropolitan Area Transit Authority. He majored in psychology at North Carolina Wesleyan College in Rocky Mount, N.C.

OUTREACH Barbara Krimgold, senior project director for Center programs on health inequalities, was on the program of a National Cancer Institute career development workshop on increasing diversity in research funding. Center Vice President for Public Affairs Ira Allen promoted the Health Behavior News Service at the Society for Professional Journalists convention.

GEIGER FELLOW The Center has named the 2006-2007 H. Jack Geiger Fellow in health policy. The program, supported by the W.K. Kellogg Foundation, Aetna Foundation and Annie E. Casey Foundation, and directed by Barbara Krimgold, places scholars in congressional offices. The new fellow, Celeste Torio, works in the office of Senator Edward M. Kennedy.

RECRUITING The Center is recruiting a director to plan, implement, manage, staff and promote a new international program on health care consumers. For details, go to http://www.cfah.org/habit/postings/cfah_career_opportunities.cfm.

HEALTH AND BEHAVIOR INFORMATION TRANSFER

President Bush signed an executive order requiring the four federal agencies paying for health care to speed the use of information technology, put quality measures into effect and make cost information transparent to the public. http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2006/08/20060822-2.html. 

The Community-Campus Partnerships for Health is calling for proposals for its conference on "Mobilizing Partnerships for Social Change” next April 11-14 in Toronto. Deadline: Oct. 6. Details: http://depts.washington.edu/ccph/conf-cfp.html.

The National Institute of General Medical Sciences has announced a new predoctoral NRSA institutional training grant program to develop basic behavioral scientists with rigorous broad-based training in the biomedical sciences. Details: http://grants.nih.gov/grants/guide/pa-files/PAR-06-503.html.